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Post by indy on Apr 8, 2022 15:44:31 GMT
"The Big Sort" has been going on for decades, but I suspect we'll see it accelerate, much like climate change. We'll see educated people, especially more mobile people without children, migrate to ever-expensive urban areas where white collar jobs are. And we'll see religious, less educated aggrieved whites continue moving to rural areas where they can numerically dominate (and physically intimidate) others.
I've actually been wondering about this for awhile now and if the opposite might happen or the trend reverse to some degree. My son, for example, is only considering jobs where he can work remotely. His plan is to move to a low cost area (which means somewhere rural most likely and perhaps even outside the US). I have no idea if he is part of a general trend but I think he may be.
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Post by LFC on Apr 8, 2022 16:01:37 GMT
"The Big Sort" has been going on for decades, but I suspect we'll see it accelerate, much like climate change. We'll see educated people, especially more mobile people without children, migrate to ever-expensive urban areas where white collar jobs are. And we'll see religious, less educated aggrieved whites continue moving to rural areas where they can numerically dominate (and physically intimidate) others.
I've actually been wondering about this for awhile now and if the opposite might happen or the trend reverse to some degree. My son, for example, is only considering jobs where he can work remotely. His plan is to move to a low cost area (which means somewhere rural most likely and perhaps even outside the US). I have no idea if he is part of a general trend but I think he may be.
I know that the predicted big migration ended up staying very close to the urban areas, something they called "circle migration" as most people wanted to retain access to the cities. A lot who talk about cheap housing don't understand the culture shock they may experience. I worked with a guy who lived in Nebraska for a few eyars. His enormous house was cheap and the area had a low cost of living but he decided to come back East.
Of course as companies continue to figure out how WFH works in their organization everything may change. The last 3 people I know who left my company are all going to remote jobs. The closest one to their new office is 2-1/2 hours away. The other two would require flights. I suspect this will accelerate especially as the generations who didn't grow up on computers retire, which might be all of 10 years.
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Post by Bact PhD on Apr 9, 2022 1:38:14 GMT
I've actually been wondering about this for awhile now and if the opposite might happen or the trend reverse to some degree. My son, for example, is only considering jobs where he can work remotely. His plan is to move to a low cost area (which means somewhere rural most likely and perhaps even outside the US). I have no idea if he is part of a general trend but I think he may be.
I know that the predicted big migration ended up staying very close to the urban areas, something they called "circle migration" as most people wanted to retain access to the cities. A lot who talk about cheap housing don't understand the culture shock they may experience. I worked with a guy who lived in Nebraska for a few eyars. His enormous house was cheap and the area had a low cost of living but he decided to come back East. Of course as companies continue to figure out how WFH works in their organization everything may change. The last 3 people I know who left my company are all going to remote jobs. The closest one to their new office is 2-1/2 hours away. The other two would require flights. I suspect this will accelerate especially as the generations who didn't grow up on computers retire, which might be all of 10 years.
Re The Big Sort: It’s gonna be interesting to see how things shake out as the Baby Boomers continue to retire. For so many years, Flori-DUH* has been considered a paradise for retirees. Given what’s been going on here the last 10 or so years, I’d say it’s debatable whether that migration continues to that same degree. Depending on the area of the state, the cost of housing isn’t much less than in some Northeastern markets. The domino effect from everyone wanting the so-called tropical paradise (now a boatload of urban sprawl—seriously, I have no desire whatsoever to move back there!!) of South Florida has been impacting the market in the overwhelmingly rural northern part of the state. However, lest one think this area has gotten “more liberal”—HA! The days of my neck of the woods being “Berkeley South” are very nearly, if not completely, over. The old-school lefties are dying off, and many of the South Florida expatriates who come here are those with the bumper stickers “Will the Last One Out Please Bring the [US] Flag?” Those folks are populating the ‘burbs here, and are at least as reactionary as the “native rednecks.” I know of at least one retired couple who came to South FL from MA, stayed over a decade, and decided to go back to MA (not even the “halfback” option of the Carolinas!). They just never got used to the culture, I guess. *yes, Arizona too, but I can’t speak to the urban/rural divide in that state.
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andydp
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Post by andydp on Apr 9, 2022 18:51:15 GMT
"The Big Sort" has been going on for decades, but I suspect we'll see it accelerate, much like climate change. We'll see educated people, especially more mobile people without children, migrate to ever-expensive urban areas where white collar jobs are. And we'll see religious, less educated aggrieved whites continue moving to rural areas where they can numerically dominate (and physically intimidate) others.
I've actually been wondering about this for awhile now and if the opposite might happen or the trend reverse to some degree. My son, for example, is only considering jobs where he can work remotely. His plan is to move to a low cost area (which means somewhere rural most likely and perhaps even outside the US). I have no idea if he is part of a general trend but I think he may be.
My friend who just retired from DHS, tells me many US Government agencies are seriously thinking of more remote work. The pandemic has shown you can get just as much done at home as you can in the office. With Zoom and other similar programs in popular use, actual meetings may wind up being a thing of the past. I can see a need for a "real" meeting, but don't see it as something that has to happen every week (or more frequently). Its a new day out there. I used to joke with the bosses at the USPS coding center. They could give us a terminal (there were specialized keys) and tell us to work from XXPM to XXPM, They can monitor keystrokes and accuracy just as well. Didn't fly. I do wonder sometime how they ran the centers during the pandemic with the distancing requirement.
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Post by goldenvalley on Apr 11, 2022 2:20:03 GMT
I've actually been wondering about this for awhile now and if the opposite might happen or the trend reverse to some degree. My son, for example, is only considering jobs where he can work remotely. His plan is to move to a low cost area (which means somewhere rural most likely and perhaps even outside the US). I have no idea if he is part of a general trend but I think he may be.
My friend who just retired from DHS, tells me many US Government agencies are seriously thinking of more remote work. The pandemic has shown you can get just as much done at home as you can in the office. With Zoom and other similar programs in popular use, actual meetings may wind up being a thing of the past. I can see a need for a "real" meeting, but don't see it as something that has to happen every week (or more frequently). Its a new day out there. I used to joke with the bosses at the USPS coding center. They could give us a terminal (there were specialized keys) and tell us to work from XXPM to XXPM, They can monitor keystrokes and accuracy just as well. Didn't fly. I do wonder sometime how they ran the centers during the pandemic with the distancing requirement. I wonder what will happen to office real estate prices and rental rates.
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andydp
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Post by andydp on Apr 11, 2022 13:14:00 GMT
My friend who just retired from DHS, tells me many US Government agencies are seriously thinking of more remote work. The pandemic has shown you can get just as much done at home as you can in the office. With Zoom and other similar programs in popular use, actual meetings may wind up being a thing of the past. I can see a need for a "real" meeting, but don't see it as something that has to happen every week (or more frequently). Its a new day out there. I used to joke with the bosses at the USPS coding center. They could give us a terminal (there were specialized keys) and tell us to work from XXPM to XXPM, They can monitor keystrokes and accuracy just as well. Didn't fly. I do wonder sometime how they ran the centers during the pandemic with the distancing requirement. I wonder what will happen to office real estate prices and rental rates. I've read they are looking at converting to apartments. Which makes sense: center city, mass transit, infrastructure already in place. The only thing missing are supermarkets.
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Post by goldenvalley on Apr 11, 2022 14:21:13 GMT
I wonder what will happen to office real estate prices and rental rates. I've read they are looking at converting to apartments. Which makes sense: center city, mass transit, infrastructure already in place. The only thing missing are supermarkets. Nice idea. I suspect building codes for residential space are quite different than for offices, plus you need a lot more plumbing. How expensive will the conversion be?
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Post by Bact PhD on Apr 11, 2022 19:06:12 GMT
I've read they are looking at converting to apartments. Which makes sense: center city, mass transit, infrastructure already in place. The only thing missing are supermarkets. Nice idea. I suspect building codes for residential space are quite different than for offices, plus you need a lot more plumbing. How expensive will the conversion be? I remember reading something (maybe in WSJ) about a year or so ago on the subject. The take-away was that owing to some of the very issues GV brought up, such conversions would be impractical in most circumstances.
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Post by LFC on Apr 12, 2022 14:19:28 GMT
Texas welfare workers are refusing to be Republican brownshirts who abuse families of trans kids. I guess they just can't come to grips with the fact that in Texas that job entails embracing that the cruelty is the point.
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Post by goldenvalley on Apr 12, 2022 15:15:26 GMT
Texas welfare workers are refusing to be Republican brownshirts who abuse families of trans kids. I guess they just can't come to grips with the fact that in Texas that job entails embracing that the cruelty is the point. I wish they stayed in the jobs and ignored the Texas law on transgender stuff. Nullification by inaction which keeps experienced people in vital jobs. Could also be called passive aggression.
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AnBr
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Post by AnBr on Apr 12, 2022 20:33:26 GMT
Not to mention that they can now be replaced by ones that are all too eager to do the biding of the Republican brownshirts.
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AnBr
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Post by AnBr on Apr 12, 2022 23:17:17 GMT
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Post by LFC on Apr 13, 2022 15:49:43 GMT
Vox has a good summary of the Republicans' strategy of demonizing LGBTQ people to rile up their base and the more open hatefulness of that base. These are sick, cruel, and anti-democratic people. This subject is an intersection of this thread, the Republican fascism thread, and the sickness of Christian politics thread. It all pulls together into one, big, toxic, political stew, and that's not by accident. Gays have been a popular target of autocrats for ages. Lately it seems like they're being demonized more frequently and virulently than even Jews, the perpetual favorite target.
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Post by goldenvalley on Apr 13, 2022 16:06:20 GMT
Vox has a good summary of the Republicans' strategy of demonizing LGBTQ people to rile up their base and the more open hatefulness of that base. These are sick, cruel, and anti-democratic people. This subject is an intersection of this thread, the Republican fascism thread, and the sickness of Christian politics thread. It all pulls together into one, big, toxic, political stew, and that's not by accident. Gays have been a popular target of autocrats for ages. Lately it seems like they're being demonized more frequently and virulently than even Jews, the perpetual favorite target. Does the elevation of CRT followed by pedophilia and "grooming" mean that the shit stirrers have concluded that Roe v Wade will be dead soon? That used to be a primary motivator to generate support and $$.
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andydp
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Post by andydp on Apr 24, 2022 0:52:17 GMT
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Post by Bact PhD on Apr 24, 2022 12:55:59 GMT
Maybe, just *maybe*, if some of these wannabe TERRORISTS see courtrooms and the inside of prison cells, the fever has a chance of breaking. Alas, to adapt something I heard eons ago, “One man’s ‘terrorist’ is another man’s ‘holy warrior’.”
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andydp
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Post by andydp on Apr 24, 2022 19:26:18 GMT
Maybe, just *maybe*, if some of these wannabe TERRORISTS see courtrooms and the inside of prison cells, the fever has a chance of breaking. Alas, to adapt something I heard eons ago, “One man’s ‘terrorist’ is another man’s ‘holy warrior’.” Is there a word for a language "luddite" ? (Besides pedant)
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Post by Bact PhD on Apr 24, 2022 21:54:41 GMT
Analysis by some at WaPo—have Supreme Emperor and his Orchestra gone too far?
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/04/23/republicans-lgbt/
It’s at the end of the piece where (some of) the real endgame is revealed (bold mine):
Yup, that Holy Grail of getting mucho tax $$$$ to religious (of course Christian) schools…tanking public education as generations of Americans have known it in the process.
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Post by LFC on Apr 25, 2022 16:39:44 GMT
Yup, that Holy Grail of getting mucho tax $$$$ to religious (of course Christian) schools…tanking public education as generations of Americans have known it in the process. What was that the Republicans screech about indoctrination?
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Post by goldenvalley on Apr 25, 2022 16:43:11 GMT
Yup, that Holy Grail of getting mucho tax $$$$ to religious (of course Christian) schools…tanking public education as generations of Americans have known it in the process. What was that the Republicans screech about indoctrination?
They aren't against all forms of indoctrination. The decision on who to oppose is based on who is doing the indoctrinating. "Our indoctrination is just called normal education; theirs is indoctrination".
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pnwguy
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Post by pnwguy on Apr 25, 2022 17:56:17 GMT
Yup, that Holy Grail of getting mucho tax $$$$ to religious (of course Christian) schools…tanking public education as generations of Americans have known it in the process.Just wait until the first "madrassa" asks for public funding for Islamic children. That would be similar to what would happen if someone starts a gun training camp for Black Lives Matter activists.
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andydp
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Post by andydp on Apr 25, 2022 18:01:24 GMT
Yup, that Holy Grail of getting mucho tax $$$$ to religious (of course Christian) schools…tanking public education as generations of Americans have known it in the process.Just wait until the first "madrassa" asks for public funding for Islamic children. That would be similar to what would happen if someone starts a gun training camp for Black Lives Matter activists. That situation happened in Mississippi. They wrote the law thinking only "Christians" would apply. What a surprise to find out the local Mosque wanted to set up a madrassa. They were reminded of that constitution "thingy".
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Post by Bact PhD on Apr 25, 2022 19:27:15 GMT
Just wait until the first "madrassa" asks for public funding for Islamic children. That would be similar to what would happen if someone starts a gun training camp for Black Lives Matter activists. That situation happened in Mississippi. They wrote the law thinking only "Christians" would apply. What a surprise to find out the local Mosque wanted to set up a madrassa. They were reminded of that constitution "thingy". I thought it was Louisiana where the stinkeroo occurred once they realized that funding “religious” schools included those not preaching Christianity, even quoting a state legislator as saying they only intended the $$ to go to Christian schools, and the surprise when the individual realized it doesn’t work that way (ya know, that pesky Establishment Clause). Something similar could have happened in Mississippi, though.
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AnBr
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Post by AnBr on Apr 25, 2022 23:20:46 GMT
What was that the Republicans screech about indoctrination?
More projection.
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Post by LFC on Apr 26, 2022 19:58:02 GMT
WTF now? The demonization of LGBTQ people reall does just fold right into the fascism thread.
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