andydp
Tenured Full Professor
Posts: 3,010
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Post by andydp on May 11, 2021 18:51:12 GMT
I beg to differ. Republicans don't need a record to run on. By virtue of the (R) behind their name, their base gives them absolution. They could all be co-sponsors of the National Kitten Execution Act, and their base would just shrug ("damn shame about those cute kittens"). The old Edwin Edwards line about "The only way I can lose this election is if I'm caught in bed with either a dead girl or a live boy." doesn't apply to MAGA voters. Matt Gaetz isn't having any trouble about his legislative record. Dumpster could still be re-elected from a jail cell, which I hope he sees the inside of in the next year or two.
Of course you're discussing the MAGAt base and are totally correct about them but I wrote them off for all serious consideration long ago. I'm discussing the impacts of getting Democrats turned out and getting a bigger chunk of that small slice that still would be willing to vote for either party. That's who the Democrats have to play to if they're going to win elections. If they can figure out a way to get the MAGAts dispirited then that's a bonus but there's definitely no political play to the MAGAts that involve a positive pitch about Dems.
Sadly. you're both right. But the MAGAs don't have to vote because there's an "R". All the candidate has to say is "My opponent is for (Abortion, Planned Parenthood, Icky gay sex, defunding Police) and they get an instant vote even though they're going to cut their Social Security after re election.
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Post by Traveler on May 11, 2021 19:00:20 GMT
That's assuming those persuadable voters are allowed to vote or aren't buried in safe GOP districts or states. That's the plan now. Look what could happen to PA, if your cretins get their way. What is going on in PA, besides the usual? Gonna have to live with REAL ID. Which is a total chore for many. But that is what Dem GOTV is for. Spend the effort to get the cards for your shut ins etc. Will enhance actual voting. Great thread going on in BB on this topic.
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Post by LFC on May 11, 2021 19:11:06 GMT
That's assuming those persuadable voters are allowed to vote or aren't buried in safe GOP districts or states. That's the plan now. Look what could happen to PA, if your cretins get their way.
It also assumes they're able to vote. It also assumes the elections aren't outright stolen. Basically we can caveat the f*** out of things all day long but it still comes down to should the Democrats do to maximize their chances. Separate infrastructure bills and the virtually guaranteed Republican obstruction is their best move.
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Post by goldenvalley on May 11, 2021 21:02:59 GMT
Separate bills certainly make for good politics. The Republicans get a choice; support at least some of Biden's agenda or make pathetic excuses why they couldn't vote for a bill that gave them 95% of what they said they wanted. I can't imagine any more than one or two backing anything from the Democrats. That gives the Dems a fig leaf of "bipartisan" while being able to bash on the majority of Republicans running for reelection.
I beg to differ. Republicans don't need a record to run on. By virtue of the (R) behind their name, their base gives them absolution. They could all be co-sponsors of the National Kitten Execution Act, and their base would just shrug ("damn shame about those cute kittens"). The old Edwin Edwards line about "The only way I can lose this election is if I'm caught in bed with either a dead girl or a live boy." doesn't apply to MAGA voters. Matt Gaetz isn't having any trouble about his legislative record. Dumpster could still be re-elected from a jail cell, which I hope he sees the inside of in the next year or two. I think the point is to give Democrats a Rep record to run against. And it will work maybe with enough people who can be swayed into voting for a Democrat. Those wins in Congress in 2018 were mostly by narrow margins...that's what is needed again (plus decent non politically gerrymandered Congressional districts).
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on May 11, 2021 21:18:01 GMT
I don't think we can avoid politically gerrymandered Congressional districts. I agree with your basic point: we have to get out our vote to beat them and that's especially difficult in midterm elections.
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Post by LFC on May 11, 2021 22:17:49 GMT
I don't think we can avoid politically gerrymandered Congressional districts. I agree with your basic point: we have get out our vote to beat them and that's especially difficult in midterm elections. The only other option is to sit around and mope.
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pg
Grad Student
Posts: 89
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Post by pg on May 11, 2021 22:34:53 GMT
"The GOP is taking Frank Luntz's advice to heart " Already did it, decades ago.
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Post by goldenvalley on May 12, 2021 14:54:45 GMT
I don't think we can avoid politically gerrymandered Congressional districts. I agree with your basic point: we have get out our vote to beat them and that's especially difficult in midterm elections. The only other option is to sit around and mope. Well I guess we could form mobs to attack the state houses and governors' offices in the states that are gerrymandering. That seemed like a good idea to some folks a while back and we'd have a good legit reason not a BS one done in service of a wanna be strongman.
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Post by LFC on May 13, 2021 14:44:37 GMT
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2021 14:56:29 GMT
Infrastructure effort is starting to resemble the same meandering path as the ACA legislation. The momentum has slowed, or to be precise, nearly halted. Then it was the senators from the northern great plains. Now the senator from the coal hole is traipsing in to the Republican bog. Without big successes like vaccine rollout, paradigm shifts in infrastructure fostering long term American competitiveness, we are headed right back to the Republican era: know nothing, do nothing, destroy everything.
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Post by LFC on May 20, 2021 15:03:10 GMT
Without big successes like vaccine rollout, paradigm shifts in infrastructure fostering long term American competitiveness, we are headed right back to the Republican era: know nothing, do nothing, destroy everything.
"Your purpose, then, plainly stated, is that you will destroy the Government, unless you be allowed to construe and enforce the Constitution as you please, on all points in dispute between you and us. You will rule or ruin in all events." --Abraham Lincoln
Some things never change. Actually maybe they do. If they rule they will still ruin and then rule the ruins. They have no interest or ability to govern in a competent manner.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 20, 2021 15:32:46 GMT
That's why the conversation has to become about positive things, about doing things, forward momentum. Positivity is contagious too[1]. Make America Dynamic Again, Mister!
Let the Republicans be mired in culture wars.
[1] Now, I need my mid-morning coffee.
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Post by LFC on May 26, 2021 14:50:09 GMT
Another hand wringing piece about Joe Biden negotiating with Republicans. I'm not really worried about Biden. He already showed he's willing to walk from a shitty deal. I'm worried about Manchin and Sinema. And I continue to love Jen Psaki. She is one tough, smart cookie.
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Post by LFC on May 27, 2021 17:05:19 GMT
As usual they refuse to pay for anything ... EVER.
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Post by goldenvalley on May 27, 2021 18:08:05 GMT
"taxing people who use the infrastructure" User fees and such? Highly regressive and news flash!...high income earners also use water, drive on roads, need somewhat educated people to exploit as employees.
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Post by LFC on May 27, 2021 18:45:32 GMT
More on the "negotiations." I'd be more interested if I believed they were real.
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Post by goldenvalley on May 27, 2021 18:58:26 GMT
Why are the Democrats continuing this dance? The Republicans clearly don't want to spend any money on the big picture of infrastructure needs and apparently really regret passing that COVID relief bill earlier this spring.
Maybe swinging for the fences on the infrastructure bill was a miscalculation by the Biden Admin but I suspect they misunderstood the depth of Republican commitment to blocking most anything that comes with the Biden Admin and assumed they would feel chastised by 1/6 to the point of giving in to large parts of that bill as they did on the relief bill.
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pnwguy
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,447
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Post by pnwguy on May 27, 2021 21:19:34 GMT
Why are the Democrats continuing this dance? The Republicans clearly don't want to spend any money on the big picture of infrastructure needs and apparently really regret passing that COVID relief bill earlier this spring. Maybe swinging for the fences on the infrastructure bill was a miscalculation by the Biden Admin but I suspect they misunderstood the depth of Republican commitment to blocking most anything that comes with the Biden Admin and assumed they would feel chastised by 1/6 to the point of giving in to large parts of that bill as they did on the relief bill. We need to come to the conclusion that with VERY few exceptions, any current Republican office holders now are dedicated to authoritarian power, rule by oligarchs, and doing whatever destruction they must wield to make everything their way. No wonder so many rank and file MAGAts trust Putin over Biden. Putin is the poster boy of what they want GOP government to be.
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on May 27, 2021 22:07:03 GMT
It is painful and maddening to watch Joe Manchin whine and beg for Republican cooperation that is never going to come.
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Post by Traveler on May 28, 2021 1:34:20 GMT
I don't have time to subject myself to keeping up with the palaver, but is Manchin ever gonna catch on?
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on May 28, 2021 13:48:16 GMT
I don't have time to subject myself to keeping up with the palaver, but is Manchin ever gonna catch on? Let me see if I understand correctly: is West Virginia going to change? Manchin is not being led down the garden path. He's a willing participant in this charade.
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Post by LFC on Jun 4, 2021 14:35:14 GMT
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Post by Traveler on Jun 5, 2021 16:25:16 GMT
The POG shot that down already, no?
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on Jun 5, 2021 16:59:55 GMT
The POG plus Manchin and Sinema. I think you're wrong about Manchin "coming around" on the reconciliation. Manchin is for Manchin; nobody else. His "vote for the Democrats" without filibuster waiver is meaningless.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
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Post by Deleted on Jun 6, 2021 13:02:56 GMT
The POG plus Manchin and Sinema. I think you're wrong about Manchin "coming around" on the reconciliation. Manchin is for Manchin; nobody else. His "vote for the Democrats" without filibuster waiver is meaningless. Manchin will come around to reconciling with two ideas: 1. Modernity is not for West Virginians, and equally, West Virginians are not for modernity. 2. The country might not be but Joe Manchin will be alright with Republican majority. Come to think of it, Joe has already reconciled. Beside Manchin (does he really have pronounced manly chin?), Manchin is also for coal and guns. Goes well with theme #1.
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