jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on Jul 29, 2021 0:02:16 GMT
But now I read that Orange County is declaring a state of emergency. When you impact Disney World, even DiSantis may have take notice.
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Post by goldenvalley on Jul 29, 2021 3:04:03 GMT
The fact is that there are a lot of people, especially the MAGAts, that can't live in a world of unknowns and in this case actual changing facts on the ground. That's why they "know" everything. It's so much more comfortable.
+1000 That is the problem. Ambiguity panics people.
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RichTBikkies
Grad Student
Trainee Basil Fawlty. Practising Victor Meldrew.
Posts: 136
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Post by RichTBikkies on Jul 29, 2021 7:45:28 GMT
Especially Florida which ought to know better. You’re kidding, right? I don’t refer to it as “Flori-DUH” for nothin’! Florid . . . uh?
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Post by Bact PhD on Jul 29, 2021 17:37:25 GMT
You’re kidding, right? I don’t refer to it as “Flori-DUH” for nothin’! Florid . . . uh? Bikkies, in American idiomatic English, the expression “duh!” is usually used to convey stupidity, as in “DUH! What did you think would happen when you stuck the stainless steel fork into the power outlet!?!”
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Post by Bact PhD on Jul 29, 2021 17:40:39 GMT
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on Jul 29, 2021 18:12:17 GMT
I said that Florida should know better, not that it did know better. It is only rivaled by New York for experience of the virus in any of its variations. DiSantis's attitude isn't just wrong, it's reckless.
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pnwguy
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,447
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Post by pnwguy on Jul 29, 2021 18:37:40 GMT
DiSantis's attitude isn't just wrong, it's reckless. Making him the ideal candidate for MAGAts if Dumpster doesn't run in 2024. "Good governance is for libtards. Give us white grievance!!!"
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Post by Bact PhD on Jul 29, 2021 18:42:28 GMT
DiSantis's attitude isn't just wrong, it's reckless. Making him the ideal candidate for MAGAts if Dumpster doesn't run in 2024. "Good governance is for libtards. Give us white grievance!!!" I’m resigned to DeMinimis winning re-election next year and likely using that as a springboard for 2024.
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on Jul 29, 2021 19:13:41 GMT
No chance for Charlie Crist? I thought the red/blue split in Florida was close.
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RichTBikkies
Grad Student
Trainee Basil Fawlty. Practising Victor Meldrew.
Posts: 136
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Post by RichTBikkies on Jul 29, 2021 19:57:28 GMT
Bikkies, in American idiomatic English, the expression “duh!” is usually used to convey stupidity, as in “DUH! What did you think would happen when you stuck the stainless steel fork into the power outlet!?!” Oh . . . I knew that! I was not, in my invincible ignorance, correcting you; I was striking out on my own. I have on several occasions politely requested you all to SMASH US CULTURAL IMPERIALISM. I assure you, I didn't expect you to do this by smashing the whole USA, as you did in 2016.
"You were only supposed to blow the bloody doors off!"
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Post by LFC on Jul 29, 2021 20:25:44 GMT
McCarthy goes full blown snowflake storm over the return of a mask mandate in the House.
"This is the people's house?" From the guy who is ready to turn it over to terrorists because it supports his fascist political agenda? Go f*** yourself, Kevin.
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Post by goldenvalley on Jul 29, 2021 22:20:58 GMT
McCarthy goes full blown snowflake storm over the return of a mask mandate in the House.
"This is the people's house?" From the guy who is ready to turn it over to terrorists because it supports his fascist political agenda? Go f*** yourself, Kevin.
Poor Kevin...all he really wants is for enough Rs to win in 2022 so that he can become Speaker. He wanted the terrorists gone on 1/6 but a week later decided his future lie in supporting them and pretending that 1/6 doesn't exist. Now this mask/vaccine thing is complicating his pathway. BTW his district is in the not very well vaccinated category.
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Post by Bact PhD on Jul 29, 2021 23:05:54 GMT
No chance for Charlie Crist? I thought the red/blue split in Florida was close. I’m not optimistic, assuming Crist even gets the (D) nomination. Ag Commissioner Nikki Fried has thrown her hat in the ring. Regardless, the storied closeness of the red/blue split has faded over the last few election cycles. With the exceptions of Obama & Senator Nelson in ‘12 and Fried in ‘18, it’s been all GOP in statewide races here in the last decade or so: 2010: Rubio, US Senate; Scott, Governor; pretty sure a GOP sweep of the Cabinet. 2012: Obama, US President; Nelson, US Senate 2014: Scott, Governor; pretty sure another GOP sweep of the Cabinet. 2016: Trump, US President; Rubio, US Senate 2018: DeSantis, Governor; Scott, US Senate; except for Ag Commission (Fried), GOP sweep of Cabinet. 2020: Trump, US President Yes, the margins in the 2018 races were razor-thin; however, 2020 wasn’t all that close. Plus, consider the new voting laws here…
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Post by indy on Jul 30, 2021 11:22:48 GMT
No chance for Charlie Crist? I thought the red/blue split in Florida was close. I’m not optimistic, assuming Crist even gets the (D) nomination. Ag Commissioner Nikki Fried has thrown her hat in the ring. Regardless, the storied closeness of the red/blue split has faded over the last few election cycles. With the exceptions of Obama & Senator Nelson in ‘12 and Fried in ‘18, it’s been all GOP in statewide races here in the last decade or so: 2010: Rubio, US Senate; Scott, Governor; pretty sure a GOP sweep of the Cabinet. 2012: Obama, US President; Nelson, US Senate 2014: Scott, Governor; pretty sure another GOP sweep of the Cabinet. 2016: Trump, US President; Rubio, US Senate 2018: DeSantis, Governor; Scott, US Senate; except for Ag Commission (Fried), GOP sweep of Cabinet. 2020: Trump, US President Yes, the margins in the 2018 races were razor-thin; however, 2020 wasn’t all that close. Plus, consider the new voting laws here… My take as well. I was all but certain that FL was going to Trump in 2020 in spite of the polling that showed Biden up by about 2.5% on election day. Normally, I'm not one to override objective evidence with 'instinct' but I was pretty certain. I think when he won it in 2016 I threw in the towel on the state and moved it into the red column.
For the longest time I thought all the retirees streaming in from the northeast would cause it to teeter the other way. That was obviously wrong. I don't know, perhaps those drawn to retiring there are more generally of the red political persuasion, or they become more conservative, or some other dynamic I'm unaware of is going on. Anyway, I think it is red for now.
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Post by Traveler on Jul 30, 2021 12:46:33 GMT
And the fact that polling was off by a good 3% didnt help...
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Post by Bact PhD on Jul 30, 2021 13:24:32 GMT
I’m not optimistic, ... Yes, the margins in the 2018 races were razor-thin; however, 2020 wasn’t all that close. Plus, consider the new voting laws here… My take as well. I was all but certain that FL was going to Trump in 2020 in spite of the polling that showed Biden up by about 2.5% on election day. Normally, I'm not one to override objective evidence with 'instinct' but I was pretty certain. I think when he won it in 2016 I threw in the towel on the state and moved it into the red column. For the longest time I thought all the retirees streaming in from the northeast would cause it to teeter the other way. That was obviously wrong. I don't know, perhaps those drawn to retiring there are more generally of the red political persuasion, or they become more conservative, or some other dynamic I'm unaware of is going on. Anyway, I think it is red for now.
(bold mine) That was true for decades, I'd say into the early 'aughts, even. However, the old-style New Deal-era New Yorkers, Jerseyites, and Pennsylvanians who settled in Southeast FL in the 1970s and '80s have died off. I posted in a different thread about the Latino/a Evangelical phenomenon, which IMO provides some context to what's going on in Southeast FL re shifts there (Hint: The talk is "personal responsibility", the underlying current is abortion). The BIG thing, though, is what's happened in the central part of the state (and to a lesser degree the Southwest coast): The Boomer-aged Midwesterners (especially from Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana) have retired to places like The Villages in DROVES, and these Midwesterners skew Red, heavily so.
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Post by indy on Jul 30, 2021 14:55:02 GMT
My take as well. I was all but certain that FL was going to Trump in 2020 in spite of the polling that showed Biden up by about 2.5% on election day. Normally, I'm not one to override objective evidence with 'instinct' but I was pretty certain. I think when he won it in 2016 I threw in the towel on the state and moved it into the red column. For the longest time I thought all the retirees streaming in from the northeast would cause it to teeter the other way. That was obviously wrong. I don't know, perhaps those drawn to retiring there are more generally of the red political persuasion, or they become more conservative, or some other dynamic I'm unaware of is going on. Anyway, I think it is red for now.
(bold mine) That was true for decades, I'd say into the early 'aughts, even. However, the old-style New Deal-era New Yorkers, Jerseyites, and Pennsylvanians who settled in Southeast FL in the 1970s and '80s have died off. I posted in a different thread about the Latino/a Evangelical phenomenon, which IMO provides some context to what's going on in Southeast FL re shifts there (Hint: The talk is "personal responsibility", the underlying current is abortion). The BIG thing, though, is what's happened in the central part of the state (and to a lesser degree the Southwest coast): The Boomer-aged Midwesterners (especially from Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana) have retired to places like The Villages in DROVES, and these Midwesterners skew Red, heavily so.
Well, that makes sense. I guess much of the migration from the Midwest is heavily tilted toward white and affluent which would certainly tend to be Republicans in the Midwest and particularly in that age group.
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pnwguy
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,447
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Post by pnwguy on Jul 30, 2021 15:24:04 GMT
I posted in a different thread about the Latino/a Evangelical phenomenon, which IMO provides some context to what's going on in Southeast FL re shifts there (Hint: The talk is "personal responsibility", the underlying current is abortion). (bold mine) It seems the holy trinity of American Christian worship has now become: Trump Fetus Guns "Go ye into all the world, and own the libs" Depending on what state you are in, the order can vary.
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Post by Bact PhD on Jul 30, 2021 17:22:53 GMT
Back to the virus: I just finished a WaPo piece concerning infection and transmission among the fully vaccinated, citing the latest Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report from the CDC:
www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7031e2.htm?s_cid=mm7031e2_w
The Good News is that severe infection and mortality are far, far lower in the vaccinated. The Bad News is that the vaccinated can still transmit the virus—the Delta variant, at least.
Shit.
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Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
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Post by Deleted on Jul 30, 2021 17:43:38 GMT
The Good News is that severe infection and mortality are far, far lower in the vaccinated. The Bad News is that the vaccinated can still transmit the virus—the Delta variant, at least.
Shit. The analysis would be useful if it breaks down risk, especially of morbidity and mortality, by risk categories like age, health conditions, co-morbidities etc. (I have not read the report, so perhaps, it has the information I'm seeking.) Also, the MA sample size is pretty small. I'm sure CDC has seen similar results replicated at other locations for them to be alarmed.
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on Jul 30, 2021 21:30:48 GMT
I just noticed that Walmart is requiring all its employees to be vaccinated by August 4th. That may have more influence in the red states than almost anything else could.
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pnwguy
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,447
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Post by pnwguy on Jul 30, 2021 23:30:12 GMT
I just noticed that Walmart is requiring all its employees to be vaccinated by August 4th. That may have more influence in the red states than almost anything else could. It would be hard for the MAGA-verse to boycott Wal-Mart. Most of them shop there or work there.
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jackd
Assistant Professor
Posts: 813
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Post by jackd on Jul 31, 2021 1:39:09 GMT
Now I learn it's just corporate employees. That's better than nothing, but if it applied to all store employees that would have potentially made a real difference.
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Post by Rue Bella on Jul 31, 2021 5:29:40 GMT
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Post by LFC on Jul 31, 2021 14:51:55 GMT
Now I learn it's just corporate employees. That's better than nothing, but if it applied to all store employees that would have potentially made a real difference. That shows that Walmart values their corporate people and view the store employees as disposable.
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