pnwguy
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,447
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Russia
Mar 9, 2022 15:19:45 GMT
Post by pnwguy on Mar 9, 2022 15:19:45 GMT
The pain increases for Russia. I can't believe Putin ever expected things to get this bad. I also can't believe he'd ever admit it and leave Ukraine. He's trapped in a cluster-f*** of his own making and a LOT of other people are suffering because of it. The frightening question is whether Putin would prefer to go out in a blaze of nuclear glory. With state control of the media most older Russians drink up daily, and right wingers in the Russian Orthodox Church assuring the masses of a glorious future after-life, he'd have willing accomplices to go all in.
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Russia
Mar 9, 2022 15:29:10 GMT
Post by indy on Mar 9, 2022 15:29:10 GMT
The pain increases for Russia. I can't believe Putin ever expected things to get this bad. I also can't believe he'd ever admit it and leave Ukraine. He's trapped in a cluster-f*** of his own making and a LOT of other people are suffering because of it.
I don't know why all these companies with assets in Russia are calling it 'a pause in operations'. Presumably they hope Putin won't seize those assets by not saying 'we are pulling out'. That is a foolish hope.
ETA: Literally five minutes after I wrote this, I read that Putin is indeed threatening to do just that.
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Post by indy on Mar 9, 2022 15:36:37 GMT
Secretary General of NATO warns that any attempt by Russia to interfere with arms deliveries to Ukraine will trigger Article 5.
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Russia
Mar 9, 2022 15:43:57 GMT
Post by indy on Mar 9, 2022 15:43:57 GMT
The pain increases for Russia. I can't believe Putin ever expected things to get this bad. I also can't believe he'd ever admit it and leave Ukraine. He's trapped in a cluster-f*** of his own making and a LOT of other people are suffering because of it. The frightening question is whether Putin would prefer to go out in a blaze of nuclear glory. With state control of the media most older Russians drink up daily, and right wingers in the Russian Orthodox Church assuring the masses of a glorious future after-life, he'd have willing accomplices to go all in. Well, from what I understand of Russian protocol (and I am far from an expert) for nuclear launch, Putin is only one of the necessary approvals. That is theory anyway. In practice, he can probably have the other necessary people shot until one of their successors agrees.
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andydp
Tenured Full Professor
Posts: 3,010
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Russia
Mar 9, 2022 16:40:05 GMT
Post by andydp on Mar 9, 2022 16:40:05 GMT
Well, from what I understand of Russian protocol (and I am far from an expert) for nuclear launch, Putin is only one of the necessary approvals. That is theory anyway. In practice, he can probably have the other necessary people shot until one of their successors agrees. When I was in Command and General Staff College, it was a surprise to me, in the US Military the "National Command Authority" authorized to expend a nuclear device can be delegated to a Lieutenant (3 star) General. Of course the primary authorization would have to come from the POTUS, but the General could deploy "tactical" nukes if he deems necessary. I'm willing to bet the Russian Army has the same sort of protocols in place. However, based on history, the Russian Army tends to be a "top down" organization with decisions made at the highest levels. The decision to deploy such a weapon would likely be done at the "Putin Level".
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Russia
Mar 9, 2022 17:38:35 GMT
Post by goldenvalley on Mar 9, 2022 17:38:35 GMT
Well, from what I understand of Russian protocol (and I am far from an expert) for nuclear launch, Putin is only one of the necessary approvals. That is theory anyway. In practice, he can probably have the other necessary people shot until one of their successors agrees. When I was in Command and General Staff College, it was a surprise to me, in the US Military the "National Command Authority" authorized to expend a nuclear device can be delegated to a Lieutenant (3 star) General. Of course the primary authorization would have to come from the POTUS, but the General could deploy "tactical" nukes if he deems necessary. I'm willing to bet the Russian Army has the same sort of protocols in place. However, based on history, the Russian Army tends to be a "top down" organization with decisions made at the highest levels. The decision to deploy such a weapon would likely be done at the "Putin Level". What are the odds that Putin poisoned any officer that he felt was disloyal enough to not obey Putin's every military whim?
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Russia
Mar 9, 2022 21:04:50 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 9, 2022 21:04:50 GMT
Interesting approach to get around some sanctions. I wonder what kinds of counter-measures companies will use to prevent piracy with any software that requires being online.
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Russia
Mar 10, 2022 17:57:14 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 10, 2022 17:57:14 GMT
Josh Marshall notes that the reckoning the Trump and the Republican Party are due for their years of support of Russia, not that he ever expects to see it.
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Russia
Mar 10, 2022 21:53:33 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 10, 2022 21:53:33 GMT
Russia state TV propaganda is, of course, absurd but they seem to be paving the way for Putin to claim victory and get out before Russia's economy collapses (bold mine). They clearly recognize the fact that Russia is going to bear the brunt of the economic fallout of their war. President Biden was right. Putin really didn't have any idea what was coming.
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Russia
Mar 10, 2022 21:55:26 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 10, 2022 21:55:26 GMT
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Russia
Mar 10, 2022 21:58:36 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 10, 2022 21:58:36 GMT
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Russia
Mar 10, 2022 21:59:56 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 10, 2022 21:59:56 GMT
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Russia
Mar 10, 2022 22:14:14 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 10, 2022 22:14:14 GMT
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Russia
Mar 11, 2022 11:28:38 GMT
LFC likes this
Post by indy on Mar 11, 2022 11:28:38 GMT
Russian oligarch complaining to Putin: 'They've seized 75% of my assets!' Putin: 'How interested are you in keeping the other 25%?'
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pnwguy
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,447
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Russia
Mar 11, 2022 15:35:55 GMT
Post by pnwguy on Mar 11, 2022 15:35:55 GMT
For a very insightful (and depressing) look at world events with Putin, watch this very long interview. The speaker is an American journalist born in Moscow with a career that's focused on Russia and eastern European history.
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Russia
Mar 14, 2022 16:46:26 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 14, 2022 16:46:26 GMT
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AnBr
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,818
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Russia
Mar 16, 2022 1:01:32 GMT
LFC likes this
Post by AnBr on Mar 16, 2022 1:01:32 GMT
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andydp
Tenured Full Professor
Posts: 3,010
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Russia
Mar 16, 2022 13:19:48 GMT
LFC likes this
Post by andydp on Mar 16, 2022 13:19:48 GMT
We had always heard the ethernet would be the next big "war zone". Anonymous is proving the theory right. Anonymous declared a 'cyber war' against Russia. Here are the results(Anonymous) has claimed responsibility for disabling prominent Russian government, news and corporate websites and leaking data from entities such as Roskomnadzor, the federal agency responsible for censoring Russian media. It appears it is, says Jeremiah Fowler, a co-founder of the cybersecurity company Security Discovery, who worked with researchers at the web company Website Planet to attempt to verify the group's claims. "Anonymous has proven to be a very capable group that has penetrated some high value targets, records and databases in the Russian Federation," he wrote in a report summarizing the findings. Of 100 Russian databases that were analyzed, 92 had been compromised, said Fowler. They belonged to retailers, Russian internet providers and intergovernmental websites, including the Commonwealth of Independent States, or CIS, an organization made up of Russia and other former Soviet nations that was created in 1991 following the fall of the Soviet Union. www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/anonymous-declared-a-cyber-war-against-russia-here-are-the-results/ar-AAV7lrMCodicil: if you remember the movie "War Games", there is danger in messing up command and control networks. The problem with a "bunch of amateurs" doing things autonomously is they may disrupt a major control system that might trick the other side into setting off the wrong kind of weapons.
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Russia
Mar 16, 2022 17:44:49 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 16, 2022 17:44:49 GMT
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Russia
Mar 17, 2022 17:58:24 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 17, 2022 17:58:24 GMT
The world continues to hack and punish Russian state companies. I guess Putin thought having a hacker squad was a hoot and a half until everybody decided to strike at him.
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Russia
Mar 17, 2022 18:30:04 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 17, 2022 18:30:04 GMT
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Russia
Mar 17, 2022 18:31:45 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 17, 2022 18:31:45 GMT
Putin is threatening other neighbors. He is simultaneously giving them he best reasons to run into the arms of NATO (if they'd have them) and demanding that they don't run into the arms of NATO.
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Russia
Mar 17, 2022 19:09:56 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 17, 2022 19:09:56 GMT
This is horrific most interesting because of what it says about Putin (bold mine). I don't know if it's true but it would explain a lot. I've actually seen these kinds of people in action, those who were likely bullied as kids and now that they're in senior positions they love being bullies.
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Russia
Mar 17, 2022 19:12:47 GMT
Post by LFC on Mar 17, 2022 19:12:47 GMT
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AnBr
Associate Professor
Posts: 1,818
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Post by AnBr on Mar 17, 2022 22:19:11 GMT
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